I have consistently listed Raila Odinga among the top tribal Kingpins in the CORD and Jubilee evil tribal nexus. I have said that the bane of Kenyan politics are these tribal Kingpins and I have done several articles emphasizing this point. I have warned that we will never make any socio-political and economic headway unless we get rid of this cabal of tribal tingods. And we will never get rid of these tribal tingods if we do not call them out, by name: Uhuru Kenyatta, William Ruto, Raila Odinga, Kalonzo Musyoka, and two wannabes called Moses Wetangula and Musalia Mudavadi.
When I say this, I get half-hearted rebuttals from the supporters of the two Jubilee tribal overlords, the self-proclaimed YK92 hustler and the 2002 failed Moi project. Even die-hard Jubilee supporters know that Jubilee is a coalition of thieving tribal jingoists and it is very difficult to defend them. It is a hopeless case to prosecute, Kenyans cannot wait to see their back next year.
Raila and ODM supporters are more aggressive and vitriolic in defense of their tribal kingpin. Predictably, they start by raising an issue with my name. I don’t know what is wrong with my name. Do you? It is the name I was given by my mother and it is the name in all my official documents. Others have a problem with my being Kikuyu. I have always told them that being Kikuyu is not a crime or an achievement. They then claim that Raila is a national leader with support in all parts of Kenya, except Central and Rift Valley. I remind them that Central and Rift Valley are inhabited by Kenyans. I do not see how anyone without support from there can be a national leader. My rebuttal is usually twofold: First, even the tribal kingpins in Jubilee can claim to have support in all parts of Kenya. Their supporters are to be found everywhere. Two, having support in all parts of Kenya does not change a tribal kingpin from being one.
Understand this: Tribe is a cultural fact. There is nothing wrong with it. Tribalism is using the cultural fact of tribe to include or to exclude. Period!
Tribalists are the politicians who use tribalism to categorize their constituency, to mobilize politically, seek power and ultimately to govern. This definition therefore includes the mentioned tribal overlords in CORD and Jubilee and their tribal contraptions called political parties. In this sense, Raila and ODM are tribalists. The only difference is that ODM/CORD have never had the opportunity to govern, but they have done everything else that entails tribalism and tribalists i.e. categorized their constituency, mobilized politically and sought power through the manipulation of the cultural fact of tribe to include and to exclude.
ODM has finally published their tribal arithmetic’s that they hope to ride on to power in 2017. It was contained in an article by their Secretary General, Agnes Zani, a boardroom appointee of Raila Odinga and a beneficiary of his 2014 men-in-black fiasco in Kasarani. It was published on Page 15 of The Standard of Thursday 24th November, 2016.
The article is so shameless in its tribal calculations from ODM that it literally nauseates. I quote:
Most recent data projecting the scenario in 2017 from www.kenyaelectiondatabase.co.ke suggests that the “Big Five” main ethnic groups comprising the Kikuyu, Luhya, Kalenjin, Luo and Kamba make up 64 per cent of Kenya’s population, hence can influence the results of any presidential elections. Out of these “Big Five”, the Kikuyu (8.2 million people) and Kalenjin (6.2 million) support the Jubilee party while the Luhya (6.6 million), Luo (5 million) and Kamba (4.8 million) support the CORD coalition. The next six ethnic groups in ranking account for 26 per cent of the Kenya citizen population: Kenya Somali (2.9 million), Kisii (2.7 million), Mijikenda (2.4 million), Meru (2 million), Turkana (1.2 million) and Maasai (1 million). Hence the top 11 ranked ethnic groups will have a projected population of more than 43 million in 2017, accounting for more than 90 per cent of Kenya’s population. Their estimated voter potential will be 17.4 million if 80 per cent voter registration is achieved or 19.6 million if 90 per cent is achieved. Out of the top 11 ethnic groups, Jubilee controls only 3 ethnic groups with 6.6 million estimated voters if 80 per cent registration is achieved while CORD mostly controls 6 ethnic groups with 9.2 million estimated voters. A total estimated 1.5 million constitute the Maasai and Somali vote if 80 per cent registration is achieved. CORD’s voters are projected to be 10.3 million, exceeding Jubilee’s 9 million if 80per cent voter registration is achieved. These figures are proportional to the percentage increase in voter registration with the margins increasing with higher voter registration… CORD strongholds must maximise mobilisation, registration, voting and protecting the vote. The 2017 elections provide an opportunity for a clear win especially with the super alliance in the offing.
Read more at: https://www.standardmedia.co.ke/article/2000224557/tyranny-of-numbers-is-a-beatable-fallacy
There you have it. In black and white.
I told you so.
I have consistently and convincingly argued that ever since his infamous “41 against 1” formula for winning the presidency in 2007, Raila Odinga is obsessed with tribal calculations and coalitions. His Secretary General has confirmed it. Having no other message to sell to Kenyans, and no other method to ascend to power, he is only interested in demonizing the innocent members of the communities whose tribal warlords are in power, creating a siege mentality from the other communities and causing tribal disaffection so that he can ride the tribal fallout emanating from this jingoism to power. This is my position and will remain so until Raila and ODM change from making tribal calculations their political strategy and tribalism Raila’s ticket to power.
Nine months to the elections, you would expect ODM to be putting forth strategies and policies of lifting millions of Kenyans from poverty – poverty is tribeless. You would expect them to be putting forth strategies and policies of creating employment for the millions of jobless Kenyan youths – joblessness and the hopelessness that it creates in our youth knows no tribe, youth dis-empowerment and dis-enfranchisement has no tribe. You expect them to be setting out policies of how they will lift the burden of food insecurity, poor health, poor sanitation and poor water supply from the backs of millions of Kenyan women who toil for so long, with so little, to provide so much, for so many – the suffering of Kenyan women has no tribe. You would expect Zani to be putting her own party to task over the failure to realize the two thirds gender rule already provided for in the constitution – gender discrimination has not tribe. You expect them to be putting up structures to curb theft and corruption in Counties they already control – corruption and the suffering it causes on Kenyans have no tribe.
Of all these challenges that ODM can mobilize around, they prefer to make tribal calculations to see how they can grab power without Central and Rift Valley.
Instead of presenting such policies, they are shamelessly dangling tribal arithmetics showing how they should win elections based on tribal mobilization and voting. Shame!
I have said previously that in 2013 Jubilee stole (pun intended) Raila’s tribal formula of “41 against 1” and tweaked it to “2 against 40” and won the elections. Since then Raila, ODM and CORD cannot shut up about how tribal Jubilee is. They are bitter they were upstaged in the tribal numbers game. Wouldn’t we then expect that they are busy crafting a new non-ethnic political narrative to replace the tribal Jubilee? How different will they be if they win using the same tribal machinations that they call out Jubilee for? Hypocrites!
Typically, wait for Raila’s supporters to say that he does not know of these calculations. (They say he did not know of the “41 against 1” formula. Actually to them he knows nothing, does not know Molasses, does not know KKV, does not know maize scandal, does not know men-in-black and does not know that ODM/CORD governors are corrupt.).
Never mind that Agnes Zani is his marionette. She was given the Secretary General position in a poisoned boardroom deal after Raila stole his own elections to stop independent-minded and people-mandated young leaders from taking over the party he imagines is his personal property. He and ODM have not come out to disown the article by Zani and she made it very clear that she was penning this article in her capacity as Acting Secretary General of ODM.
When I tell you that the current political class is made up of hopeless tribal jingoists who eat, drink, sleep and wake tribalism, believe me.
When I tell you that there is no difference between CORD and Jubilee when it comes to politics of ethnicity, impunity and mediocrity, siasa ya ukabila, ukora na upuzi, believe me.
When I tell you that Raila Odinga is no nationalist and ODM is a tribal contraption ran by tribal jingoists like Zani and men-in-black, believe me.
When I tell you that Raila/ODM and CORD can NEVER be a replacement for the thieving tribal Jubilee, believe me.
And when I tell you that the only solution for Kenya is a new non-ethnic alternative political narrative to displace the tribalists in CORD and Jubilee and their ethnic political narrative, believe me.
And for those who refute my claims that Raila is a tribalist and ODM his tribal contraption and ticket to power, here is your answer from none other than ODM Secretary General herself. Believe it!